I’d like to extend my thanks to those who attended yesterday’s Second Wednesday. It was the first I’ve facilitated for some time and I thoroughly enjoyed the challenging and engaging discussion on Uncertainty Management.
What struck me as particularly interesting was the prevailing view that organisations have a need for the appropriate management of uncertainty but do not include this in their governance process. In fact they do the opposite. Most will look at alternative risk management strategies rather than dynamically manage uncertainty through a change programme.
There is, of course, inherent risk in this approach. As soon as decision is made regarding uncertainty (i.e. it is effectively fixed) the potential outcome becomes a risk. Even a range of potential outcomes still constrains the programme.
Programme governance needs to provide an alternative to basic risk management, one in which uncertainties are recognised and addressed as part of a strategic plan, not simply at the outset. In this way programmes will typically be able to start earlier (carrying uncertainties) and therefore deliver early ROI. Additionally, this approach can prevent analysis paralysis, which often leads to stalled programmes.
Mike Robinson's presentation at the Agile Business Conference 2012 -
Icebreaker? A Dynamic Approach to Uncertainty Management
I get asked the question ‘who is your favourite 19th century Prussian Field Marshal’ quite a lot, as I suspect you do as well. There are of course several great contenders for this title, but my vote has to go Helmuth Von Moltke the Elder. Why? Because of his contribution to the concept of dynamic planning! Trying to convince people that planning is a continuous and never ending process and not something that’s completed at the start of a project is a constant challenge for me and I will grab any support I can get.
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